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Saturday, March 01, 2008

Downswing continues

Combine 3 things and you're in trouble: Unlucky, Coolers, Bad Aggressive play. The gap between my EV and actual value is over 600 (400 in the last graph. The bad luck continues). This is 10 buyins purely on bad luck. Completely nothing to do with how good or poorly I play. It's the equivalent of losing 20 coinflips over the course of 4000 hands.

Unlucky:

All in on flop and he gets runner runner flush. AIPF AQ vs KT (this one isn't too bad, but i made a great call, so it felt bad). also all in on turn, 3 outter on river.

Coolers:

AK 3 way preflop and i hit the ace. Pot is huge already, but he has trips.

Bad Aggressive play:

(btw he slowrolled me, I bluffed him off a pot later and showed it and then he lost 2 coolers to other ppl and i mocked him). He has been reraising me small 2 other times already.

$0.5/$1 No Limit Holdem
6 players

Stacks:
UTG
($345.95)
UTG+1
($101.00)
CO
($102.50)
Hero
($59.50)
SB
($22.55)
BB
($132.35)

Pre-flop: ($1.5, 6 players) Hero is BTN

1 fold, Hero raises to $3.5, 1 fold, BB raises to $7, Hero calls $3.5

Flop: ($14.5, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($14.5, 2 players)
Hero goes all-in $52.5, BB calls $38

River: ($119.5, 2 players)

Final Pot: $119.50
Hero shows:
BB shows:

BB wins $116.5 ( won +$57 )
Hero lost -$59.50

posted by joe | permalink | 0 comments

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